The Queensland Redistribution

This came up the other day and I've been having a bit of a think about it, inspired by Antony Green on the NSW redistribution at Crikey and at Mumble.
Casting my eyes over the enrolments here's what I can tell.

Lilley, Bonner, Bowman,Fadden, Moncrieff and McPherson don't need to be touched which gives a nice edge to the propagation of changes. Griffith needs to drop a couple of thousand but they could be added to Bonner without any trouble. Oxley, Rankin, Forde, Groom and Blair, however, need to lose between 5000 and 10 000 electors each, so there's a swag of extra voters there.

At the other end of the map most of the Northern seats need to shrink as well. Kennedy, Leichardt, Dawson, Capricornia, Hinkler, Wide Bay should also drop at least 5000 each, so they'll all shrink a little and shuffle north. Fairfax through Dickson are all about right, but Peterie's too big so there'll be some boundary movements.

But the net result looks like Blair is where the action is going to be - with the new seat taking either it's northern or southern end.